We've been wrong about what sewage does. Not metaphorically, but literally wrong in the engineering sense, wrong in the assumptions we baked into every pipe, treatment plant, and public health protocol we built over the last century.
Pharmaceutical residues from human medicine don't vanish when they hit the treatment plant. Some of it survives, reaches rats, and changes how diseases spread from rats back to humans in measurable, repeatable ways that a lab can demonstrate and document.
The mechanism is clean. Partial antibiotic exposure in sewage creates selective pressure, pathogens that survive it become more transmissible, and rats carrying these altered strains shed them with higher efficiency. The diseases move faster, spread wider, find new hosts in a textbook case of evolutionary biology happening in the pipes beneath cities with millions of people.
But we have no idea if this actually matters at scale. The lab work is real and the field validation is absent. We know it can happen, but we don't know if it does happen enough to shift disease burden in any city on Earth. We definitely don't know what to do about it because we never built infrastructure to manage sewage as a chemical environment. We built it to move waste away, and that's still what it does, just with other effects now too.
We built sanitation systems assuming sewage was just waste flowing downhill. We never imagined it was a pharmacy rewriting the rules of infection.
If sewage is now an active chemical environment that shapes pathogen behavior, then sewage management is infectious disease prevention, not just waste removal. That means different money, different expertise, different oversight, and every city that hasn't modeled what's actually in its pipes is flying blind.